League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 32
Sep 29, 2023 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Oriel Park
  • Paul Doyle 40' goal
  • Daniel Kelly 46' goal
  • Robbie Benson 63' yellowcard
  • Patrick Hoban 77' goal
  • goal Kyle Robinson 26'
  • yellowcard Kyle Robinson 35'

Dundalk vs Drogheda United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundalk

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Sep 25, 2023 7.45pm
Dundalk 5 - 0 Cork City
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Patrick Hoban

Drogheda United

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Sep 25, 2023 7.45pm
St Patrick's 1 - 2 Drogheda
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Freddie Draper

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 55.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 22.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 1-2 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.

Result

Dundalk 55.17% (+0.02)
Draw 22.7% (-0.01)
Drogheda United 22.12% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.84% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 56.22% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 43.78% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 33.83% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 66.17% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 17.4% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 82.6% (+0.01)

Dundalk Goals

Over 0.5 84.25% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 15.75% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 55.14% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 44.86% (-0.01)

Drogheda United Goals

Over 0.5 66.28% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 33.72% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 29.62% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 70.38% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Dundalk 55.17%
Draw 22.7%
Drogheda United 22.12%
Dundalk
2-1 @ 9.86% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 9.82% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.07% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.08%
3-0 @ 5.59% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.81%
4-0 @ 2.58% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.04%
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 55.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.67%
2-2 @ 5.36% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.31% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.7%
Drogheda United
1-2 @ 5.8% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.77%
0-2 @ 3.14% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.1% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.14% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 22.12%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 21
Jun 23, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT United Park (Drogheda)
  • Adam Foley 9' goal
  • goal Patrick Hoban 77'
  • goal Patrick Hoban 80'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 12
Apr 28, 2023 7.45pm
3
2
HT : 2 0
FT Oriel Park
  • Ryan O'Kane 23' goal
  • Patrick Hoban 28' goal
  • John Martin 90'+1' goal
  • goal Dayle Rooney 54'
  • goal Freddie Draper 72'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 6
Mar 16, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Hunky Dorys Park
  • goal Connor Malley 65'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 31
Sep 30, 2022 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Runar Hauge 40' goal
  • Dane Massey 45'+1' goal
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 23
Jul 8, 2022 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Dean Williams 1' goal
  • Luke Heeney 26' yellowcard
  • Dayle Rooney 34' yellowcard
  • Evan Weir 35' yellowcard
  • Dean Williams 44' yellowcard
  • Darragh Nugent 54' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robbie Benson 43'
  • yellowcard Daniel Kelly 45'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 13
Apr 29, 2022 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Darragh Leahy 40' goal
  • Stephen O'Donnell 42' yellowcard
  • Darragh Leahy 51' goal
  • Patrick Hoban 57' goal
  • John Martin 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Darragh Nugent 38'
  • yellowcard Gary Deegan 65'
  • goal Ryan Brennan 87'
  • yellowcard Luke Heeney 89'