League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 32

Sep 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Oriel Park

Dundalk
3 - 1
Drogheda

Doyle (40'), Kelly (46'), Hoban (77')
Benson (63')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Robinson (26')
Robinson (35')

Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Dundalk and Drogheda United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundalk

All competitions

Last Game: Dundalk 5-0 Cork City
Monday, September 25 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Goals
for

Drogheda United

All competitions

Last Game: St Patrick's 1-2 Drogheda
Monday, September 25 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 55.17%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 22.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 1-2 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dundalk would win this match.

Result
Dundalk	Draw	Drogheda United
55.17% ( 0.01)	22.7% ( -0)	22.12% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 55.84% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.22% (

-0.02)

43.78% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.83% (

-0.02)

66.17% (

0.01)

Dundalk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.25% (

-0)

15.75% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.14% (

-0)

44.86% (

-0)

Drogheda United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.28% (

-0.02)

33.72% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.62% (

-0.02)

70.38% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Dundalk 55.17%

Drogheda United 22.12%

Draw 22.7%

Dundalk	Draw	Drogheda United
2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.07% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.08% 3-0 @ 5.59% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.81% 4-0 @ 2.58% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.53% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.04% 5-0 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 55.17%	1-1 @ 10.67% 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.31% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.7%	1-2 @ 5.8% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.77% 0-2 @ 3.14% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.1% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 22.12%