Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 58.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 19.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.71%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (5.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.