Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 43.47%. A win for Shelbourne had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (8.08%). The likeliest Shelbourne win was 1-0 (9.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.