Derry City
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 36
Nov 3, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Brandywell Stadium
St Patrick's Athletic

Derry
3 - 0
St Patrick's

Kavanagh (11'), Patching (26'), McEneff (86')
Connolly (30'), Dummigan (73')
FT(HT: 2-0)

McGrath (85')
Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Derry City and St Patrick's Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derry City

All competitions
Last Game: Cork City 0-1 Derry
Friday, October 27 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: St Patrick's 0-2 Shamrock
Friday, October 27 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 54.69%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 20.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 0-1 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.

Result
Derry CityDrawSt Patrick's Athletic
54.69% (0.343 0.34)24.84% (-0.032 -0.03)20.48% (-0.31 -0.31)
Both teams to score 46.98% (-0.335 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.6% (-0.219 -0.22)54.4% (0.22 0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.23% (-0.182 -0.18)75.77% (0.184 0.18)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.15% (0.049999999999997 0.05)19.85% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.05% (0.080000000000005 0.08)51.94% (-0.080000000000005 -0.08)
St Patrick's Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.62% (-0.454 -0.45)41.38% (0.454 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.1% (-0.405 -0.41)77.89% (0.40600000000001 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Derry City 54.68%
    St Patrick's Athletic 20.48%
    Draw 24.83%
Derry CityDrawSt Patrick's Athletic
1-0 @ 13.28% (0.14 0.14)
2-0 @ 10.73% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 9.48% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.79% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.34% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.25% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.07% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 54.68%
1-1 @ 11.71% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 8.21% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 24.83%
0-1 @ 7.25% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.17% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-2 @ 3.2% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.52% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.23% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 0.94% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 20.48%

How you voted: Derry vs St Patrick's

Derry City
33.3%
Draw
33.3%
St Patrick's Athletic
33.3%
6
Head to Head
Jun 5, 2023 6.45pm
Gameweek 19
St Patrick's
4-1
Derry
McGrath (36'), Doyle (62'), Forrester (67'), Doyle (79')
Murphy (61')
Kavanagh (65')
McEleney (41'), Graydon (83')
> Preview
Apr 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Derry
2-0
St Patrick's
Doherty (71' pen.), Whelan (79')
Feb 17, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
St Patrick's
1-1
Derry
Redmond (89')
McEneff (32')
Sep 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
St Patrick's
0-1
Derry
Kavanagh (70')
May 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Derry
0-0
St Patrick's