Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 44.75%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.