Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 37.49%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 36.32% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood.