Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 38.55%. A win for Bohemians had a probability of 34.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (6.82%). The likeliest Bohemians win was 1-0 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.