Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 37.5%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 36.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.