Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shelbourne in this match.