League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 33

Oct 6, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Tolka Park

Shelbourne
1 - 0
Dundalk

Jarvis (4')
Wood (37'), Farrell (75'), Ledwidge (90+8')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Kelly (27'), Horgan (45'), Davies (45+1'), Brownlie (70'), O'Donnell (75'), Martin (81'), Malley (90+7')

Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Shelbourne and Dundalk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shelbourne

All competitions

Last Game: Shamrock 1-0 Shelbourne
Friday, September 29 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Goals
for

Top scorers

Dundalk

All competitions

Last Game: Dundalk 3-1 Drogheda
Friday, September 29 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 46.23%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 28.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shelbourne in this match.

Result
Shelbourne	Draw	Dundalk
46.23% ( 0.03)	25.12% ( 0)	28.65% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 54.46% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.32% (

-0.03)

48.68% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.21% (

-0.03)

70.79% (

0.02)

Shelbourne Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.92%

21.08% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.1% (

53.9% (

-0.01)

Dundalk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69% (

-0.04)

31% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.69% (

-0.05)

67.3% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Shelbourne 46.23%

Dundalk 28.65%

Draw 25.11%

Shelbourne	Draw	Dundalk
1-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.81% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 2.55% Total : 46.23%	1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.11%	0-1 @ 7.65% 1-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.48% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0) Other @ 2.94% Total : 28.65%