League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 16
May 17, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Richmond Park
  • Joe Redmond 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Patrick Hoban 22'
  • goal Paul McMullan 76'
  • yellowcard Ciaran Coll 88'

St Patrick's Athletic vs Derry City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
May 10, 2024 7.45pm
Shamrock 2 - 2 St Patrick's
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Jake Mulraney

Derry City

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
May 10, 2024 7.45pm
Derry 1 - 0 Bohemians
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Patrick Hoban

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 43.49%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 27.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.8%) and 1-2 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 1-0 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Derry City in this match.

Result

St Patrick's Athletic 27.66% (+0.74)
Draw 28.84% (-0.03)
Derry City 43.49% (-0.72)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.14% (+0.49)

Goals

Over 2.5 37.09% (+0.39)
Under 2.5 62.91% (-0.39)
Over 3.5 17.6% (+0.28)
Under 3.5 82.4% (-0.28)
Over 4.5 6.99% (+0.16)
Under 4.5 93% (-0.15)

St Patrick's Athletic Goals

Over 0.5 60.58% (+0.86)
Under 0.5 39.42% (-0.85)
Over 1.5 23.88% (+0.79)
Under 1.5 76.11% (-0.79)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5 71.22% (-0.20)
Under 0.5 28.78% (+0.20)
Over 1.5 35.37% (-0.25)
Under 1.5 64.63% (+0.26)

Score analysis

St Patrick's Athletic 27.66%
Draw 28.83%
Derry City 43.49%
St Patrick's Athletic
1-0 @ 10.56% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 6.12% (+0.17)
2-0 @ 4.92% (+0.16)
3-1 @ 1.9% (+0.10)
3-0 @ 1.53% (+0.09)
3-2 @ 1.18% (+0.06)
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 27.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.15% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 11.34% (-0.17)
2-2 @ 3.81% (+0.08)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 28.83%
Derry City
0-1 @ 14.13% (-0.28)
0-2 @ 8.8% (-0.23)
1-2 @ 8.19% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 3.65% (-0.12)
1-3 @ 3.4% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.58% (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.14% (-0.05)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 43.49%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 24
Apr 22, 2024 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Brandywell Stadium
  • Patrick Hoban 13' yellowcard
  • Danny Mullen 16' goal
  • Cameron McJannett 20' yellowcard
  • Patrick Hoban 51' goal
  • Danny Mullen 56' goal
  • Adam O'Reilly 72' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jamie Lennon 38'
  • goal Conor Keeley 54'
  • yellowcard Ryan McLaughlin 74'
  • yellowcard Conor Keeley 82'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 3
Mar 1, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Brandywell Stadium
  • Patrick Hoban 31' yellowcard
  • Patrick Hoban 65' goal
  • Danny Mullen 90'+2' goal
  • goal Ruairi Keating 47'
  • yellowcard Anthony Breslin 66'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Pitaluga 80'
  • yellowcard Cian Kavanagh 85'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 36
Nov 3, 2023 7.45pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Brandywell Stadium
  • Brandon Kavanagh 11' goal
  • William Patching 26' goal
  • Mark Connolly 30' yellowcard
  • Cameron Dummigan 73' yellowcard
  • Jordan McEneff 86' goal
  • yellowcard Jay McGrath 85'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 19
Jun 5, 2023 6.45pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT Richmond Park
  • Jay McGrath 36' goal
  • Eoin Doyle 62' goal
  • Chris Forrester 67' goal
  • Mark Doyle 79' goal
  • goal Cian Kavanagh 65'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 12
Apr 28, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Brandywell Stadium
  • Ben Doherty 71' goal
  • Colm Whelan 79' goal
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 1
Feb 17, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Richmond Park
  • Joe Redmond 89' goal
  • goal Jordan McEneff 32'