Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 43.49%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 27.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.8%) and 1-2 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 1-0 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Derry City in this match.