Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 62.26%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 16.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.