Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 77.87%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 7.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.39%) and 3-0 (11.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.07%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (2.96%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.