Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 53.53%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 21.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.36%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.82%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 1-0 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.