Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Drogheda United had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.53%) and 0-2 (6.23%). The likeliest Drogheda United win was 2-1 (8.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.