League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 11

Apr 19, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Brandywell Stadium

Derry
1 - 3
Shamrock

Hoban (87')
Patching (42')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Greene (56', 62'), Towell (69')
Lopes (16'), Honohan (29'), Burns (46'), Gaffney (73')

Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Derry City and Shamrock Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derry City

All competitions

Last Game: Drogheda 2-2 Derry
Friday, April 12 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Goals
for

Shamrock Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Shamrock 3-0 Sligo
Friday, April 12 at 8pm in League of Ireland Premier

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for Shamrock Rovers had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.88%). The likeliest Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Derry City	Draw	Shamrock Rovers
44.17% ( -0.11)	26.09% ( 0.04)	29.75% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 52.04% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.87% (

-0.11)

52.13% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.15% (

-0.09)

73.85% (

0.09)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.51% (

-0.1)

23.5% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.48% (

-0.15)

57.52% (

0.15)

Shamrock Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.02% (

31.98% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.56% (

0.01)

68.44% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Derry City 44.16%

Shamrock Rovers 29.75%

Draw 26.08%

Derry City	Draw	Shamrock Rovers
1-0 @ 10.88% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 3.81% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.85% Total : 44.16%	1-1 @ 12.4% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.51% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.08%	0-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.07% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.88% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.69% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.95% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 29.75%