Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 48.31%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 23.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.94%) and 1-2 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.71%), while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 1-0 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.