Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 74.92%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 9.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 2-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.89%) and 3-0 (10.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.62%), while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 0-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shamrock Rovers would win this match.