Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 56.6%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 17.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.32%) and 1-2 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 1-0 (7.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.