League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 21
Jun 13, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Oriel Park
  • Cameron Elliott 25' yellowcard
  • Daryl Horgan 54' goal
  • Sam Durrant 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Charlie Wiggett 37'

Dundalk vs Sligo Rovers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundalk

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Jun 7, 2024 7.45pm
Shelbourne 1 - 0 Dundalk
Goals scored
23
Top scorer
James Gullan

Sligo Rovers

All competitions
League of Ireland Premier
Last game
Jun 7, 2024 7.45pm
Waterford 4 - 1 Sligo
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Ellis Chapman

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundalk win with a probability of 47.85%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 24.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundalk win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.77%), while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 0-1 (9.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Dundalk in this match.

Result

Dundalk 47.85% (-0.03)
Draw 27.97% (+0.03)
Sligo Rovers 24.18% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.88% (-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5 38.04% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 61.96% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 18.29% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 81.71% (+0.05)
Over 4.5 7.37% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 92.63% (+0.03)

Dundalk Goals

Over 0.5 73.92% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 26.08% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 38.87% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 61.14% (+0.06)

Sligo Rovers Goals

Over 0.5 58.01% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 41.99% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 21.57% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 78.43% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Dundalk 47.85%
Draw 27.96%
Sligo Rovers 24.18%
Dundalk
1-0 @ 14.72% (+0.03)
2-0 @ 9.89%
2-1 @ 8.58% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.43% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.84% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.67% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.49% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 47.85%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.77% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 10.95% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 3.72% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 27.96%
Sligo Rovers
0-1 @ 9.5% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 5.54% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.12% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.6% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.08% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.14%
Total : 24.18%

Head to Head

League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 11
Apr 19, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Showgrounds
  • Fabrice Hartmann 16' goal
  • Charlie Wiggett 28' yellowcard
  • Tyreke Wilson 48' yellowcard
  • Edward McGinty 78' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Robbie Benson 28'
  • goal James Gullan 49'
  • yellowcard Zak Bradshaw 75'
  • yellowcard Eoin Kenny 82'
  • yellowcard Zac Johnson 86'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 4
Mar 4, 2024 7.45pm
0
5
HT : 0 4
FT Oriel Park
  • Zak Bradshaw 15' yellowcard
  • Hayden Muller 68' yellowcard
  • goal Ellis Chapman 7'
  • goal Fabrice Hartmann 14'
  • yellowcard Reece Hutchinson 18'
  • yellowcard Connor Malley 24'
  • goal Ellis Chapman 33'
  • goal Max Mata 39'
  • goal Max Mata 62'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 34
Oct 20, 2023 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Showgrounds
  • David Cawley 39' yellowcard
  • Fabrice Hartmann 56' yellowcard
  • Robbie Burton 58' yellowcard
  • Robbie Burton 58' redcard
  • Kailin Barlow 80' yellowcard
  • Frank Liivak 80' yellowcard
  • Greg Bolger 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Daryl Horgan 19'
  • yellowcard Archie Davies 39'
  • goal Sam Durrant 88'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 27
Aug 11, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Oriel Park
  • Daniel Kelly 10' goal
  • Louie Annesley 35' yellowcard
  • Connor Malley 85' yellowcard
  • Archie Davies 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lukas Browning 51'
  • yellowcard Pedro Alves Correia 60'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 14
May 6, 2023 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Showgrounds
  • goal Keith Ward 84'
League of Ireland Premier Gameweek 8
Apr 7, 2023 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Oriel Park
  • Rayhaan Tulloch 44' goal
  • goal Max Mata 16'
  • goal Stefan Radosavlevic 89'