St Patrick's Athletic
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 19
Jun 3, 2024 at 5.15pm UK
Richmond Park
Dundalk

St Patrick's
2 - 3
Dundalk

Forrester (27' pen.), Lennon (35')
Redmond (16'), Melia (58')
FT(HT: 2-3)
Gullan (2', 22'), O'Kane (4')
Doyle (18'), Davies (51'), Johnson (62'), Horgan (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League of Ireland Premier clash between St Patrick's Athletic and Dundalk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Patrick's Athletic

All competitions
Last Game: St Patrick's 2-1 Galway United
Friday, May 31 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Dundalk

All competitions
Last Game: Dundalk 0-0 Derry
Friday, May 31 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 45.33%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 27.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.82%), while for a Dundalk win it was 0-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
St Patrick's AthleticDrawDundalk
45.33% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)27.34% (0.014000000000003 0.01)27.32% (0.080000000000002 0.08)
Both teams to score 46.89% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.93% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)58.06% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)78.74% (0.0040000000000049 0)
St Patrick's Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.45% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)25.55% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.58% (-0.067 -0.07)60.41% (0.067 0.07)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.98% (0.064 0.06)37.02% (-0.064 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.19% (0.061999999999998 0.06)73.8% (-0.064000000000007 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    St Patrick's Athletic 45.33%
    Dundalk 27.32%
    Draw 27.34%
St Patrick's AthleticDrawDundalk
1-0 @ 12.9% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.8% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.75% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.01% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 3.98% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.98% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.37% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.36% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 45.33%
1-1 @ 12.82% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.46% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 27.34%
0-1 @ 9.4% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.37% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.67% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.11% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.55% (0.008 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.44% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 27.32%

How you voted: St Patrick's vs Dundalk

St Patrick's Athletic
90.5%
Draw
4.8%
Dundalk
4.8%
21
Head to Head
Apr 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Dundalk
0-0
St Patrick's
Bradshaw (63'), Benson (90+5')
Nolan (61'), Daly (62')
Mar 8, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 5
St Patrick's
1-0
Dundalk
Keating (30')
Lennon (90+4'), Nolan (90+2')

Benson (48'), Oostenbrink (68'), Mahon (90+1')
Sep 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 31
St Patrick's
3-1
Dundalk
Lonergan (49', 57'), Melia (90+8' pen.)
Carty (71'), Doyle (90')
Kelly (75')
Davies (18'), Muller (55'), Benson (61')
Benson (83')
Jun 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Dundalk
1-1
St Patrick's
Kelly (84')
Tulloch (53'), McCourt (53'), Kelly (90+2'), Hoban (90+5')
Tulloch (55')
Carty (33')
Lennon (17'), Forrester (66'), Timmermans (90+3')
> Preview
May 26, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
St Patrick's
2-1
Dundalk
Doyle (30'), Carty (79')
Lennon (28'), Forrester (54')
Mulraney (53')
Tulloch (48')
Doyle (29'), Malley (53'), Wasiri Williams (71'), Lewis (90')