Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bohemians win with a probability of 41.79%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bohemians win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.