Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 35.65%. A win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.5%) and 0-2 (6.68%). The likeliest St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 (11.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shelbourne would win this match.