Shelbourne
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 20
Jun 7, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Tolka Park
Dundalk

Shelbourne
1 - 0
Dundalk

Martin (71')
Williams (77'), O'Sullivan (78'), Martin (80'), Wilson (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Boyle (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Shelbourne and Dundalk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shelbourne

All competitions
Last Game: Shelbourne 1-2 Sligo
Friday, May 31 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Dundalk

All competitions
Last Game: St Patrick's 2-3 Dundalk
Monday, June 3 at 5.15pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 50.72%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Dundalk had a probability of 23.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.24%), while for a Dundalk win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shelbourne in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Shelbourne.

Result
ShelbourneDrawDundalk
50.72% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)25.99% (0.0019999999999989 0)23.29% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 47.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.1%55.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.99% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)77.01% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Shelbourne Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)22.1% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.54% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)55.46% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Dundalk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.6% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)39.4% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.9% (0.004999999999999 0)76.1% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Score Analysis
    Shelbourne 50.72%
    Dundalk 23.29%
    Draw 25.99%
ShelbourneDrawDundalk
1-0 @ 13.14%
2-0 @ 9.92% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-1 @ 9.24%
3-0 @ 4.99% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.65% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 2.17%
4-0 @ 1.88% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 50.72%
1-1 @ 12.24%
0-0 @ 8.71%
2-2 @ 4.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.73%
Total : 25.99%
0-1 @ 8.11% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 5.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 3.78% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 1.77%
2-3 @ 1.34%
0-3 @ 1.17% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 23.29%

How you voted: Shelbourne vs Dundalk

Shelbourne
91.7%
Draw
8.3%
Dundalk
0.0%
12
Head to Head
May 3, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Dundalk
0-0
Shelbourne
Oostenbrink (25'), Horgan (26'), Bradshaw (82')
Coyle (79')
Mar 29, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Shelbourne
2-1
Dundalk
Burt (51'), Muller (74' og.)
Barrett (45+2'), Coyle (45+2')
Benson (90+1')
Muller (43'), Elliott (45+2'), Munro (55')
Oct 6, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Shelbourne
1-0
Dundalk
Jarvis (4')
Wood (37'), Farrell (75'), Ledwidge (90+8')

Kelly (27'), Horgan (45'), Davies (45+1'), Brownlie (70'), O'Donnell (75'), Martin (81'), Malley (90+7')
Aug 6, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 26
Dundalk
1-1
Shelbourne
Martin (39')
Sloggett (54'), Brownlie (68'), Yli-Kokko (72')
Wood (83')
Quinn (21'), Coyle (57'), Griffin (90+3')
Apr 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Shelbourne
1-1
Dundalk
Moylan (56' pen.)
Tulloch (81')