Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shelbourne win with a probability of 56.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 18.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shelbourne win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.65%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.51%), while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.