Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galway United win with a probability of 58.37%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 17.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galway United win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.57%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.18%), while for a Sligo Rovers win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.