Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Galway United win with a probability of 42.58%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Galway United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.37%) and 1-2 (8.3%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 (10.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.