Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 44.48%. A win for Sligo Rovers had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Sligo Rovers win was 0-1 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.