Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sligo Rovers win with a probability of 47.86%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 23.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sligo Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (8.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sligo Rovers would win this match.