League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 17
May 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Waterford Regional Sports Centre
Drogheda United

Waterford
4 - 2
Drogheda

Amond (55', 60', 68'), Power (74')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Foley (21'), Zishim Bawa (46')
Cann (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Waterford United and Drogheda United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Waterford United

All competitions
Last Game: Shelbourne 1-0 Waterford
Friday, May 17 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Drogheda United

All competitions
Last Game: Drogheda 2-3 Galway United
Friday, May 17 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Waterford United win with a probability of 53.9%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Waterford United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.46%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (6.78%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Waterford United would win this match.

Result
Waterford UnitedDrawDrogheda United
53.9% (0.0040000000000049 0)24.1%22% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Both teams to score 51.17% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.11% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)49.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.12% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)71.88% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Waterford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.57% (0.0010000000000048 0)18.43% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.4% (0.0030000000000001 0)49.59% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Drogheda United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.73% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)37.26% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.95% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)74.04% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Waterford United 53.89%
    Drogheda United 22%
    Draw 24.1%
Waterford UnitedDrawDrogheda United
1-0 @ 11.61%
2-0 @ 9.82% (0.0029999999999983 0)
2-1 @ 9.7%
3-0 @ 5.54% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 5.47%
3-2 @ 2.7%
4-0 @ 2.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.31%
4-2 @ 1.14%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 53.89%
1-1 @ 11.46%
0-0 @ 6.87% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 24.1%
0-1 @ 6.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 5.66% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.35% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 1.86% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.58%
0-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 22%

How you voted: Waterford vs Drogheda

Waterford United
77.8%
Draw
22.2%
Drogheda United
0.0%
18
Head to Head
Feb 23, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 2
Drogheda
1-4
Waterford
Zishim Bawa (13')
Weir (25'), Deegan (71')
Leahy (14', 62'), O'Keeffe (23'), Amond (71')
McDonald (75')
Sep 24, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 28
Waterford
1-0
Drogheda
Patterson (50')
Evans (2'), O'Keeffe (58'), Power (83'), Martin (90+4')

Deegan (10'), Heeney (50'), Doyle (58')
Deegan (49')
Jul 30, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 22
Drogheda
1-2
Waterford
Hyland (68')
Deegan (20')
Martin (51'), Quitirna (83')
O'Keeffe (16'), Griffin (36')
Wordsworth (90+4')
May 8, 2021 6pm
Gameweek 10
Waterford
0-7
Drogheda
Markey (15'), Doyle (25'), Massey (26', 75'), Lyons (40', 45'), Phillips (86')
(77')
Mar 19, 2021 5.45pm
Gameweek 1
Drogheda
1-0
Waterford
Evans (89' og.)
Massey (85'), Doyle (90+3')

Mashigo (54'), O'Reilly (63'), J (72'), Sobowale (87')