Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 51.29%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for St Patrick's Athletic had a probability of 22.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.39%) and 1-2 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.3%), while for a St Patrick's Athletic win it was 1-0 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.