Derry City
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 22
Jun 28, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Brandywell Stadium
Drogheda United

Derry
5 - 1
Drogheda

Dummigan (6'), Patching (30' pen.), Kelly (57'), Hoban (67'), Coll (88')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Foley (26')
Foley (29'), Weir (30'), Pierrot (42'), Keaney (82'), O'Brien (82')
Pierrot (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Derry City and Drogheda United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derry City

All competitions
Last Game: Bohemians 1-2 Derry
Thursday, June 13 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Drogheda United

All competitions
Last Game: Galway United 3-0 Drogheda
Thursday, June 13 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 74.89%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Drogheda United had a probability of 7.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (15.04%) and 3-0 (11.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.84%), while for a Drogheda United win it was 0-1 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.

Result
Derry CityDrawDrogheda United
74.89% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)17.36% (0.023 0.02)7.75% (0.021 0.02)
Both teams to score 35.78% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.41% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)50.6% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.49% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)72.51% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.11% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)11.89% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.78% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)37.22% (0.030999999999999 0.03)
Drogheda United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
40.6% (0.054000000000002 0.05)59.4% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
9.66% (0.026999999999999 0.03)90.34% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Derry City 74.88%
    Drogheda United 7.75%
    Draw 17.36%
Derry CityDrawDrogheda United
2-0 @ 16.01% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 15.04%
3-0 @ 11.36% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.34% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
4-0 @ 6.05% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.92% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
5-0 @ 2.58% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
6-0 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 74.88%
1-1 @ 7.84% (0.012 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 2.17% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 17.36%
0-1 @ 3.68% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 2.04% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 0.96% (0.004 0)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 7.75%

How you voted: Derry vs Drogheda

Derry City
100%
Draw
0.0%
Drogheda United
0.0%
12
Head to Head
Apr 12, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Drogheda
2-2
Derry
Davis (3'), Pierrot (86')
Webster (58'), Doherty (59'), McNally (83'), Keaney (90+5')
Duffy (29'), Patching (45+1')
Feb 16, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 1
Derry
2-1
Drogheda
Boyce (46'), Hoban (63')
McMullan (54')
Weir (67')
Pierrot (17'), Weir (53'), Keaney (71'), Cann (81')
Oct 6, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 33
Drogheda
0-0
Derry
Robinson (10'), Doherty (19'), Keeley (85')
Keeley (90+3')
O'Reilly (30')
Aug 13, 2023 6.30pm
Gameweek 27
Derry
3-0
Drogheda
McEneff (41'), McGonigle (85'), Duffy (88')
O'Reilly (54')

Brennan (48')
May 5, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 14
Drogheda
0-1
Derry
O'Reilly (12')