Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 52.02%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Galway United had a probability of 21.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Galway United win it was 0-1 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.

Result
Derry City	Draw	Galway United
52.02% ( -0.05)	26.56% ( -0.01)	21.42% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 43.59% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.48% (

0.07)

59.52% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.13% (

0.05)

79.87% (

-0.05)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.94% (

0.01)

23.06% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.11% (

0.01)

56.89% (

-0.02)

Galway United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.65% (

0.1)

43.34% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.42% (

0.08)

79.58% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Derry City 52.01%

Galway United 21.42%

Draw 26.56%

Derry City	Draw	Galway United
1-0 @ 14.66% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.75% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.93% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 52.01%	1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 9.99% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.76% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.55% Total : 26.56%	0-1 @ 8.36% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.49% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 1% Total : 21.42%