Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 45.37%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Bohemians had a probability of 26.66%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.07%) and 1-2 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Bohemians win it was 1-0 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.