Bohemain FC
League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 21
Jun 13, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Dalymount Park
Derry City

Bohemians
1 - 2
Derry

Grant (15')
Carroll (57'), McDonnell (76'), Connolly (86'), Piszczek (90+2'), Flores (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Diallo (17'), Mullen (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League of Ireland Premier clash between Bohemians and Derry City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bohemians

All competitions
Last Game: Waterford 2-1 Bohemians
Friday, May 31 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Derry City

All competitions
Last Game: Derry 2-0 Galway United
Friday, June 7 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 45.37%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Bohemians had a probability of 26.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.07%) and 1-2 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.94%), while for a Bohemians win it was 1-0 (9.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derry City would win this match.

Result
BohemiansDrawDerry City
26.66% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)27.97% (-0.004999999999999 -0)45.37% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 44.77% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.46% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)60.54% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.35% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)80.64% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Bohemians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)38.94% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.33% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)75.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Derry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.33% (0.01400000000001 0.01)26.67% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.09% (0.018000000000001 0.02)61.91% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bohemians 26.66%
    Derry City 45.36%
    Draw 27.96%
BohemiansDrawDerry City
1-0 @ 9.79% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.1% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 4.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 1.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.45% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 1.27%
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 26.66%
1-1 @ 12.94%
0-0 @ 10.38%
2-2 @ 4.03%
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 27.96%
0-1 @ 13.72%
0-2 @ 9.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-2 @ 8.56% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 4% (0.0029999999999997 0)
1-3 @ 3.77% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.78% (0.0010000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 1.32% (0.002 0)
1-4 @ 1.25% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 45.36%

How you voted: Bohemians vs Derry

Bohemians
39.3%
Draw
14.3%
Derry City
46.4%
28
Head to Head
May 10, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Derry
1-0
Bohemians
Duffy (85')
Patching (61'), Duffy (90+6'), Duffy (90+6')

McManus (79')
Mar 15, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Bohemians
2-1
Derry
Rooney (30'), Akintunde (77')
Connolly (34'), Flores (47'), McDonnell (78')
Boyce (79')
Coll (82')
Aug 25, 2023 8.30pm
Gameweek 28
Bohemians
2-2
Derry
Clarke (13'), Afolabi (53' pen.)
Connolly (56'), Buckley (68'), Clarke (83'), McDonnell (90+1')
Duffy (22'), Mullen (42')
Diallo (53'), McMullan (77')
Jun 9, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Derry
0-0
Bohemians
Diallo (13'), Higgins (14'), McJannett (41'), Graydon (70'), Boyce (90+1')
Connolly (62')
> Preview
May 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Bohemians
0-1
Derry
Graydon (16')