Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 56.56%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Magpies had a probability of 20.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.28%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Magpies win it was 1-0 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
Magpies	Draw	Derry City
20.13% ( 0.03)	23.31% ( 0)	56.56% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 50.96% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.16% (

0.03)

48.84% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.06% (

0.03)

70.94% (

-0.03)

Magpies Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.44% (

0.05)

38.56% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.69% (

0.05)

75.3% (

-0.05)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.94% (

-0)

17.06% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.77%

47.23% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Magpies 20.13%

Derry City 56.55%

Draw 23.3%

Magpies	Draw	Derry City
1-0 @ 6.27% 2-1 @ 5.28% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 2.99% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.68% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.48% ( 0) 3-0 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 1.48% Total : 20.13%	1-1 @ 11.08% 0-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.97% Total : 23.3%	0-1 @ 11.63% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 10.28% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.8% 0-3 @ 6.06% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.78% 2-3 @ 2.75% ( 0) 0-4 @ 2.68% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.56% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.22% ( 0) 0-5 @ 0.95% ( -0) 1-5 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.94% Total : 56.55%