Conference League
Jul 11, 2024 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Victoria Stadium, Wincham
  • Jack Storer 36' yellowcard
  • Jean-Carlos Garcia 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Ash Taylor 49' goal
  • Dayle Coleing 80' yellowcard
  • Francisco Zuniga 82' goal
  • yellowcard Mark Connolly 23'

Magpies vs Derry City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Magpies

All competitions

Derry City

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derry City win with a probability of 56.56%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Magpies had a probability of 20.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derry City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.28%) and 1-2 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Magpies win it was 1-0 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result

Magpies 20.13% (+0.03)
Draw 23.31% (+0.01)
Derry City 56.56% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.96% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.16% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 48.84% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 29.06% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 70.94% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 14.03% (+0.03)
Under 4.5 85.97% (-0.03)

Magpies Goals

Over 0.5 61.44% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 38.56% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 24.69% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 75.3% (-0.05)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5 82.94% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 17.06% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 52.77%
Under 1.5 47.23% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Magpies 20.13%
Draw 23.3%
Derry City 56.55%
Magpies
1-0 @ 6.27%
2-1 @ 5.28% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.99% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.68% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.48% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 20.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.08%
0-0 @ 6.58% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.67% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 23.3%
Derry City
0-1 @ 11.63% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 10.28% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 9.8%
0-3 @ 6.06% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.78%
2-3 @ 2.75% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.68% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.56% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.22% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.8%
Total : 56.55%