Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Copenhagen win with a probability of 61.54%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Aarhus had a probability of 17.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Copenhagen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%), while for an Aarhus win it was 1-2 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Copenhagen would win this match.

Result
Copenhagen	Draw	Aarhus
61.54% ( 0.6)	20.64% ( -0.22)	17.81% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 55.6% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.35% (

0.34)

40.65% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.97% (

0.35)

63.03% (

-0.35)

Copenhagen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.28% (

0.28)

12.72% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.05% (

0.57)

38.95% (

-0.57)

Aarhus Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.7% (

-0.22)

36.29% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.92% (

-0.23)

73.08% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Copenhagen 61.54%

Aarhus 17.81%

Draw 20.64%

Copenhagen	Draw	Aarhus
2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.81% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 9.52% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 6.84% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 3.53% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 3.48% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.45% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.43% ( 0.05) Other @ 3.54% Total : 61.54%	1-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.64%	1-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 4.68% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 2.37% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.52% Total : 17.81%