Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nordsjaelland win with a probability of 52.04%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Aarhus had a probability of 23.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nordsjaelland win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.74%) and 1-2 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for an Aarhus win it was 1-0 (7.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nordsjaelland would win this match.