Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 62.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 16.26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Aberdeen | Draw | St Mirren |
| 62.83% ( | 20.9% ( | 16.26% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.42% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.43% ( | 44.57% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.06% ( | 66.94% ( |
| Aberdeen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.43% ( | 13.57% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.33% ( | 40.67% ( |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.49% ( | 40.51% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.88% ( | 77.11% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Aberdeen | Draw | St Mirren |
| 1-0 @ 10.97% ( 2-0 @ 10.96% ( 2-1 @ 9.91% ( 3-0 @ 7.3% ( 3-1 @ 6.6% ( 4-0 @ 3.65% ( 4-1 @ 3.29% ( 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 4-2 @ 1.49% ( 5-0 @ 1.46% ( 5-1 @ 1.32% ( Other @ 2.91% Total : 62.82% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( 0-0 @ 5.5% ( 2-2 @ 4.48% ( Other @ 1.01% Total : 20.9% | 0-1 @ 4.97% ( 1-2 @ 4.48% ( 0-2 @ 2.24% ( 1-3 @ 1.35% ( 2-3 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 1.87% Total : 16.26% |