Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 62.83%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 16.26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aberdeen would win this match.