Club Friendlies 3
Jul 19, 2024 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Smisa Stadium
  • Toyosi Olusanya 50' goal
  • James Scott 80' goal
  • goal Harrison Neal 30'
  • goal Terell Thomas 85'

St Mirren vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 13, 2024 3.00pm
St Mirren 2 - 2 Fleetwood

Carlisle United

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 13, 2024 3.00pm
Workington 0 - 0 Carlisle

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 37.18%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 35.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-0 (10.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result

St Mirren 35.37% (-0.03)
Draw 27.45% (+0.01)
Carlisle United 37.18% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.46% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.82% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 56.17% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 22.77% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 77.23% (+0.01)
Over 4.5 9.97% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 90.03% (+0.01)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5 69.78% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 30.22% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 33.61% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 66.39% (+0.03)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 70.88% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 29.11% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 34.96% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 65.04% (-0.01)

Score analysis

St Mirren 35.36%
Draw 27.45%
Carlisle United 37.17%
St Mirren
1-0 @ 10.52%
2-1 @ 7.77% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.3% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.1% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 2.51% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 35.36%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 8.8% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.45%
Carlisle United
0-1 @ 10.85%
1-2 @ 8.02% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.7% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.3% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.76% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.97%
1-4 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 37.17%