Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 35

May 4, 2024 at 3pm UK

Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park

Dundee
1 - 3
St Mirren

Mellon (76')
Donnelly (37'), Cameron (60')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gogic (38'), Tanser (59'), Olusanya (72')
Tanser (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Dundee and St Mirren, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Dundee

All competitions

Last Game: Dundee 1-2 Celtic
Sunday, April 28 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

St Mirren

All competitions

Last Game: St Mirren 1-2 Rangers
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 39.24%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Dundee win was 1-0 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.

Result
Dundee	Draw	St Mirren
35.29% ( -2.01)	25.47% ( 0.21)	39.24% ( 1.8)

Both teams to score 55.96% (

-0.89)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.09% (

-1.08)

47.91% (

1.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.91% (

-1)

70.09% (

1.01)

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.73% (

-1.63)

26.27% (

1.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.61% (

-2.24)

61.39% (

2.24)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.9% (

0.47)

24.1% (

-0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.61% (

0.66)

58.39% (

-0.65)

Score Analysis

Dundee 35.29%

St Mirren 39.24%

Draw 25.46%

Dundee	Draw	St Mirren
1-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.29) 2-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.28) 3-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.31) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.18) 3-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.25) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.17) Other @ 3.27% Total : 35.29%	1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.46%	0-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.52) 1-2 @ 8.57% ( 0.21) 0-2 @ 6.41% ( 0.45) 1-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.15) 0-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.25) 2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.45% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.08% ( 0.1) 2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.94% Total : 39.24%