Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 38.07%. A win for Hearts had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.35%). The likeliest Hearts win was 0-1 (9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| St Mirren | Draw | Hearts |
| 38.07% ( | 25.89% ( | 36.03% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.6% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.3% ( | 49.7% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.29% ( | 71.71% ( |
| St Mirren Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.46% ( | 25.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.61% ( | 60.39% ( |
| Hearts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.31% ( | 26.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.06% ( | 61.93% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| St Mirren | Draw | Hearts |
| 1-0 @ 9.3% ( 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 2-0 @ 6.35% ( 3-1 @ 3.82% ( 3-0 @ 2.89% ( 3-2 @ 2.52% ( 4-1 @ 1.3% ( 4-0 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.52% Total : 38.07% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0-0 @ 6.81% ( 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 3-3 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.88% | 0-1 @ 9% ( 1-2 @ 8.12% ( 0-2 @ 5.95% ( 1-3 @ 3.57% ( 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 2-3 @ 2.44% ( 1-4 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 3.16% Total : 36.03% |