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Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Smisa Stadium

St Mirren
1 - 1
Brann

Olusanya (90')
Fraser (8'), Mandron (36'), Balcombe (48'), Taylor (66'), Gogic (82'), Olusanya (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Myhre (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between St Mirren and SK Brann, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Mirren 3-0 Hibernian
Sunday, August 4 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Stromsgodset 2-3 Brann
Sunday, August 4 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SK Brann win with a probability of 49.04%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 27.76% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a SK Brann win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.23%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 2-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
St MirrenDrawSK Brann
27.76% (0.043000000000003 0.04)23.19% (0.035 0.04)49.04% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 60.35% (-0.087000000000003 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.38% (-0.131 -0.13)40.62% (0.128 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.99% (-0.134 -0.13)63% (0.131 0.13)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.51% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)27.49% (0.032999999999998 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.01% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)62.98% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
SK Brann Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.22% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)16.77% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.28% (-0.141 -0.14)46.72% (0.13800000000001 0.14)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 27.76%
    SK Brann 49.04%
    Draw 23.19%
St MirrenDrawSK Brann
2-1 @ 6.87% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.95% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 3.85% (0.016 0.02)
3-1 @ 2.96% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 2.64% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.66% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 27.76%
1-1 @ 10.63% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-2 @ 6.13% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.61% (0.027 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.57% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 23.19%
1-2 @ 9.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 8.23% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
0-2 @ 7.35% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 5.65% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 4.37% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.65% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-4 @ 2.52% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 1.95% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.63% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 49.04%

How you voted: St Mirren vs Brann

St Mirren
31.1%
Draw
18.9%
SK Brann
50.0%
74