Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SK Brann win with a probability of 55.66%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 24.19% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a SK Brann win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.81%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 (5.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.