Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 15
Jul 20, 2024 at 5pm UK
Sarpsborg Stadion

Sarpsborg
1 - 1
Brann

Meister (90+1')
Johansen (10'), Orjasaeter (15'), Michelsen (38'), Wichne (77')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Heggebo (90+4')
Myhre (80'), Pallesen Knudsen (85'), Heggebo (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Sarpsborg 08 and SK Brann, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sarpsborg 08

All competitions
Last Game: Sarpsborg 4-1 Rosenborg
Friday, July 12 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

SK Brann

All competitions
Last Game: Brann 1-1 Haugesund
Saturday, July 13 at 6.15pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SK Brann win with a probability of 55.66%. A win for Sarpsborg 08 had a probability of 24.19% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a SK Brann win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.81%) and 0-2 (6.38%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win was 2-1 (5.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Sarpsborg 08DrawSK Brann
24.19% (-0.459 -0.46)20.14% (-0.044 -0.04)55.66% (0.504 0.5)
Both teams to score 67.98% (-0.405 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.88% (-0.29300000000001 -0.29)29.11% (0.293 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.88% (-0.358 -0.36)50.11% (0.357 0.36)
Sarpsborg 08 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.13% (-0.485 -0.48)23.86% (0.486 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.94% (-0.702 -0.7)58.06% (0.701 0.7)
SK Brann Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.29% (0.036999999999992 0.04)10.71% (-0.037000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.36% (0.080999999999989 0.08)34.64% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Sarpsborg 08 24.19%
    SK Brann 55.66%
    Draw 20.14%
Sarpsborg 08DrawSK Brann
2-1 @ 5.86% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-0 @ 3.66% (0.011 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.13% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-1 @ 2.8% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-0 @ 2.62% (-0.03 -0.03)
3-0 @ 1.25% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.12% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 24.19%
1-1 @ 8.18% (0.036 0.04)
2-2 @ 6.55% (-0.055 -0.05)
0-0 @ 2.56% (0.043 0.04)
3-3 @ 2.33% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 20.14%
1-2 @ 9.14% (0.054 0.05)
1-3 @ 6.81% (0.051 0.05)
0-2 @ 6.38% (0.127 0.13)
0-1 @ 5.71% (0.106 0.11)
2-3 @ 4.88% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.75% (0.102 0.1)
1-4 @ 3.8% (0.034 0.03)
2-4 @ 2.72% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.65% (0.061 0.06)
1-5 @ 1.7% (0.018 0.02)
3-4 @ 1.3% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-5 @ 1.22% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.19% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 55.66%

How you voted: Sarpsborg vs Brann

Sarpsborg 08
30.4%
Draw
34.8%
SK Brann
34.8%
23
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 21
Brann
1-0
Sarpsborg
Heltne Nilsen (69' pen.)
Borsting (4'), Finne (36'), Myhre (83'), Sery (84')

Skipper (42'), Lundqvist (68'), Zekhnini (76')
Skipper (67')
May 13, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 6
Sarpsborg
2-1
Brann
Maigaard (23'), Andersen (37')
Maigaard (28'), Wichne (88')
Finne (79')
Dec 12, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 30
Brann
2-1
Sarpsborg
Heggebo (59'), Moller Wolfe (66')
Pallesen Knudsen (6'), Heltne Nilsen (87')
Canadija (90')
Karamoko (35'), Odegaard (42'), Thomassen (74'), Wichne (82'), Jarl (88')
Jun 13, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 6
Sarpsborg
0-0
Brann
Skaanes (40'), Bamba (76')
Apr 14, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 3
Sarpsborg
P-P
Brann