Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 13
Jul 7, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Aspmyra Stadion

Bodo/Glimt
5 - 1
Brann

Saltnes (20'), Gundersen (45+1'), Berg (55', 77'), Fet (89')
Berg (22')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between Bodo/Glimt and SK Brann, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sarpsborg 1-2 Bodo/Glimt
Friday, June 28 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien
Last Game: Brann 0-0 Stromsgodset
Friday, June 28 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 45.25%. A win for SK Brann had a probability of 31.87% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.85%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest SK Brann win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.

Result
Bodo/GlimtDrawSK Brann
45.25% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)22.88% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)31.87% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 64.2% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.3% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)36.7% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.13% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)58.86% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Bodo/Glimt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.3% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)16.7% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.41% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)46.59% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
SK Brann Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.07% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)22.93% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.3% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)56.7% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Bodo/Glimt 45.25%
    SK Brann 31.87%
    Draw 22.88%
Bodo/GlimtDrawSK Brann
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 6.85% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.13% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.39% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 3.97% (-0.004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.66%
4-1 @ 2.41% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.64% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 4.39%
Total : 45.25%
1-1 @ 10.09% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 3.83% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.36%
Total : 22.88%
1-2 @ 7.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-1 @ 5.64% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.15% (0.0029999999999992 0)
1-3 @ 3.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 3.27% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-4 @ 1.34% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 31.87%

How you voted: Bodo/Glimt vs Brann

Bodo/Glimt
73.7%
Draw
23.7%
SK Brann
2.6%
38
Head to Head
Nov 26, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 29
Brann
4-2
Bodo/Glimt
Finne (7', 28'), Castro (40', 47')
Crone (90+1')
Fjeld Gulliksen (53'), Kapskarmo (82')
Fjeld Gulliksen (60'), Kapskarmo (83')
Apr 29, 2023 5pm
Gameweek 4
Bodo/Glimt
2-2
Brann
Pellegrino (78', 90+3')
Jensen Wassberg (15'), Finne (44')
Dec 5, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 29
Bodo/Glimt
2-2
Brann
Moe (4'), Saltnes (67')
Jensen Wassberg (79'), Finne (90+3')
May 24, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 3
Brann
1-2
Bodo/Glimt
Bamba (80')
Berg (67'), Botheim (87')
Botheim (88')
Apr 5, 2021 5pm
rhs 2.0


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