Norwegian Eliteserien | Gameweek 11
Jun 1, 2024 at 5pm UK
Briskeby Arena

HamKam
1 - 2
Brann

Simenstad (51')
Kurtovic (8'), Mawa (11'), Kjaergaard (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Soltvedt (9' pen.), Didrik Blomberg (74')
Heltne Nilsen (29'), Crone (50'), Kristiansen (85'), Sery (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Norwegian Eliteserien clash between HamKam and SK Brann, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

HamKam

All competitions
Last Game: Viking FK 3-0 HamKam
Sunday, May 26 at 4pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

SK Brann

All competitions
Last Game: Brann 2-1 Kristiansund
Wednesday, May 29 at 6pm in Norwegian Eliteserien

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SK Brann win with a probability of 66.5%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for HamKam had a probability of 14.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a SK Brann win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.19%) and 1-2 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for a HamKam win it was 1-0 (4.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that SK Brann would win this match.

Result
HamKamDrawSK Brann
14.27% (0.091999999999999 0.09)19.23% (0.071000000000002 0.07)66.5% (-0.16500000000001 -0.17)
Both teams to score 52.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.9% (-0.129 -0.13)41.1% (0.12799999999999 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.51% (-0.131 -0.13)63.49% (0.131 0.13)
HamKam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.96% (0.046000000000006 0.05)41.04% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.41% (0.042999999999999 0.04)77.59% (-0.044000000000011 -0.04)
SK Brann Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.52% (-0.081000000000003 -0.08)11.48% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.66% (-0.177 -0.18)36.34% (0.176 0.18)
Score Analysis
    HamKam 14.27%
    SK Brann 66.48%
    Draw 19.23%
HamKamDrawSK Brann
1-0 @ 4.2% (0.03 0.03)
2-1 @ 4.05% (0.022 0.02)
2-0 @ 1.87% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.3% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 1.2% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 14.27%
1-1 @ 9.08% (0.036 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.71% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.38% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 19.23%
0-2 @ 11.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 10.19% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.83% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 7.96% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-3 @ 7.09% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
0-4 @ 4.31% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
1-4 @ 3.84% (-0.023 -0.02)
2-3 @ 3.16% (-0.004 -0)
0-5 @ 1.87% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.71% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.66% (-0.015 -0.01)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 66.48%

How you voted: HamKam vs Brann

HamKam
16.1%
Draw
22.6%
SK Brann
61.3%
31
Head to Head
Apr 17, 2024 5pm
Gameweek 16
Brann
1-0
HamKam
Heggebo (82')
Horneland (37')

Odegard (36')
Aug 6, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 17
HamKam
0-2
Brann

Kongsro (22'), Sjolstad (45+1')
Kartum (22'), Castro (23')
Simba (67')
> Preview
Jul 2, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 12
Brann
2-1
HamKam
Torsvik (45+2'), Finne (83' pen.)
Crone (54')
Alexander Kirkevold (90+3')
Melgalvis (82')
> Preview