Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 44.16%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 30.72% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.11%) and 0-2 (7.36%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-0 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.