Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valur Reykjavik win with a probability of 49.33%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valur Reykjavik win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.