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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Jul 25, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Origovollurinn
St Mirren logo

Valur
0 - 0
St Mirren


Johannsson (74')
FT

Olusanya (65'), O'Hara (78'), Idowu (80')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Valur Reykjavik and St Mirren.

Form, Standings, Stats

Valur Reykjavik

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Vllaznia Shkoder 0-4 Valur
Thursday, July 18 at 7.30pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

St Mirren

All competitions
Last Game: St Mirren 2-2 Carlisle
Friday, July 19 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valur Reykjavik win with a probability of 49.33%. A win for St Mirren had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valur Reykjavik win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.78%) and 2-0 (7.13%). The likeliest St Mirren win was 1-2 (6.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Valur ReykjavikDrawSt Mirren
49.33% (0.609 0.61)22.83% (-0.159 -0.16)27.84% (-0.443 -0.44)
Both teams to score 61.7% (0.215 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.13% (0.441 0.44)38.87% (-0.436 -0.44)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.82% (0.463 0.46)61.18% (-0.457 -0.46)
Valur Reykjavik Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.98% (0.384 0.38)16.02% (-0.379 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.64% (0.696 0.7)45.35% (-0.692 -0.69)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.47% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)26.53% (0.079999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.26% (-0.104 -0.1)61.74% (0.108 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Valur Reykjavik 49.33%
    St Mirren 27.84%
    Draw 22.82%
Valur ReykjavikDrawSt Mirren
2-1 @ 9.46% (0.029 0.03)
1-0 @ 7.78% (-0.06 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.13% (0.038 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.77% (0.092 0.09)
3-0 @ 4.35% (0.078 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.83% (0.052 0.05)
4-1 @ 2.64% (0.076 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.99% (0.061 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.75% (0.046 0.05)
5-1 @ 0.97% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 49.33%
1-1 @ 10.32% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-2 @ 6.27% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-0 @ 4.25% (-0.088 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.69% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 22.82%
1-2 @ 6.85% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-1 @ 5.64% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-2 @ 3.74% (-0.094 -0.09)
1-3 @ 3.03% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.78% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.65% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.01% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 27.84%

How you voted: Valur vs St Mirren

Valur Reykjavik
60.0%
Draw
30.0%
St Mirren
10.0%
10