Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valur Reykjavik win with a probability of 49.14%. A win for Vllaznia Shkoder had a probability of 26.86% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valur Reykjavik win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Vllaznia Shkoder win was 1-2 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.