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Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 1, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Smisa Stadium

St Mirren
4 - 1
Valur

Rooney (16'), Olusanya (52'), O'Hara (65'), Iacovitti (88')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hrafn Haraldsson (75' pen.)
Karl Finsen (90+1')
Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between St Mirren and Valur Reykjavik.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions
Europa Conference League
Last Game: Valur 0-0 St Mirren
Thursday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League

Valur Reykjavik

All competitions
Last Game: Valur 0-0 St Mirren
Thursday, July 25 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League
TeamGoals scoredAvg per gameTop scorer
1Aberdeen0nan
2Celtic0nan
3Dundee0nan
4Dundee Utd0nan
5Hearts0nan
6Hibernian0nan
7Kilmarnock0nan
8Motherwell0nan
9Rangers0nan
10Ross County0nan
11St Johnstone0nan
12St Mirren0nan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Valur Reykjavik had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.71%) and 2-0 (5.75%). The likeliest Valur Reykjavik win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.

Result
St MirrenDrawValur Reykjavik
42.41% (0.772 0.77)23.16% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)34.43% (-0.762 -0.76)
Both teams to score 64.16% (-0.155 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.83% (-0.123 -0.12)37.17% (0.119 0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.63% (-0.133 -0.13)59.37% (0.128 0.13)
St Mirren Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.98% (0.271 0.27)18.02% (-0.275 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.1% (0.464 0.46)48.89% (-0.468 -0.47)
Valur Reykjavik Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.26% (-0.453 -0.45)21.74% (0.449 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.08% (-0.69600000000001 -0.7)54.92% (0.692 0.69)
Score Analysis
    St Mirren 42.41%
    Valur Reykjavik 34.43%
    Draw 23.15%
St MirrenDrawValur Reykjavik
2-1 @ 8.78% (0.086 0.09)
1-0 @ 6.71% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
2-0 @ 5.75% (0.134 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.02% (0.094 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.83% (0.019 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.29% (0.105 0.11)
4-1 @ 2.15% (0.059 0.06)
4-2 @ 1.64% (0.023 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.41% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 42.41%
1-1 @ 10.24% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.7% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-0 @ 3.92% (0.022 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.95% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.15%
1-2 @ 7.82% (-0.099 -0.1)
0-1 @ 5.98% (-0.047 -0.05)
0-2 @ 4.56% (-0.099 -0.1)
1-3 @ 3.98% (-0.106 -0.11)
2-3 @ 3.41% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-3 @ 2.32% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-4 @ 1.52% (-0.062 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.3% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 34.43%

How you voted: St Mirren vs Valur

St Mirren
100%
Draw
0.0%
Valur Reykjavik
0.0%
7
Head to Head
Jul 25, 2024 7.45pm
Second Qualifying Round 1st Leg
Valur
0-0
St Mirren
Johannsson (74')
Johannsson (81')
Olusanya (65'), O'Hara (78'), Idowu (80')