Conference League
Aug 1, 2024 7.45pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT The Smisa Stadium
  • Shaun Rooney 16' goal
  • Toyosi Olusanya 52' goal
  • Mark O'Hara 65' goal
  • Alex Iacovitti 88' goal
  • goal Tryggvi Hrafn Haraldsson 75'
  • yellowcard Olafur Karl Finsen 90'+1'

St Mirren vs Valur Reykjavik - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

St Mirren

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 25, 2024 7.45pm
Valur 0 - 0 St Mirren

Valur Reykjavik

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Jul 25, 2024 7.45pm
Valur 0 - 0 St Mirren

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Mirren win with a probability of 42.41%. A win for Valur Reykjavik had a probability of 34.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a St Mirren win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.71%) and 2-0 (5.75%). The likeliest Valur Reykjavik win was 1-2 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Mirren would win this match.

Result

St Mirren 42.41% (+0.78)
Draw 23.16% (-0.02)
Valur Reykjavik 34.43% (-0.77)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.16% (-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5 62.83% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 37.17% (+0.12)
Over 3.5 40.63% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 59.37% (+0.13)
Over 4.5 22.65% (-0.11)
Under 4.5 77.35% (+0.11)

St Mirren Goals

Over 0.5 81.98% (+0.28)
Under 0.5 18.02% (-0.28)
Over 1.5 51.1% (+0.47)
Under 1.5 48.89% (-0.47)

Valur Reykjavik Goals

Over 0.5 78.26% (-0.46)
Under 0.5 21.74% (+0.45)
Over 1.5 45.08% (-0.70)
Under 1.5 54.92% (+0.70)

Score analysis

St Mirren 42.41%
Draw 23.15%
Valur Reykjavik 34.43%
St Mirren
2-1 @ 8.78% (+0.09)
1-0 @ 6.71% (+0.10)
2-0 @ 5.75% (+0.14)
3-1 @ 5.02% (+0.10)
3-2 @ 3.83% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.29% (+0.11)
4-1 @ 2.15% (+0.06)
4-2 @ 1.64% (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.41% (+0.06)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 42.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.24% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.7% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 3.92% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.95% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 23.15%
Valur Reykjavik
1-2 @ 7.82% (-0.10)
0-1 @ 5.98% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 4.56% (-0.10)
1-3 @ 3.98% (-0.11)
2-3 @ 3.41% (-0.07)
0-3 @ 2.32% (-0.09)
1-4 @ 1.52% (-0.07)
2-4 @ 1.3% (-0.05)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 34.43%

Head to Head

Conference League
Jul 25, 2024 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Origovollurinn
  • Aron Johannsson 74' yellowcard
  • Aron Johannsson 81' redcard
  • yellowcard Toyosi Olusanya 65'
  • yellowcard Mark O'Hara 78'
  • yellowcard Roland Idowu 80'