Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 58.48%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Puszcza Niepolomice had a probability of 18.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.87%) and 1-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Puszcza Niepolomice win it was 1-0 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.