Polish Ekstraklasa | Gameweek 13

Oct 26, 2024 at 7.15pm UK

Stadion MOS Poznan

Lech Poznan
2 - 1
Radomiak Radom

Pereira (17'), Ishak (72')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ouattara (49')
Ouattara (16'), Donis (54'), Goncalves (90+4')

Coverage of the Polish Ekstraklasa clash between Lech Poznan and Radomiak Radom.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lech Poznan

All competitions

Last Game: Cracovia 0-2 Lech Poznan
Saturday, October 19 at 7.15pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Radomiak Radom

All competitions

Last Game: Radomiak Radom 2-0 Puszcza Niepolomice
Monday, October 21 at 6pm in Polish Ekstraklasa

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 61.46%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Radomiak Radom had a probability of 16.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.09%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Radomiak Radom win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.

Result
Lech Poznan	Draw	Radomiak Radom
61.46% ( 0.2)	21.67% ( -0.1)	16.88% ( -0.1)

Both teams to score 50.26% (

0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.21% (

0.27)

46.79% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.95% (

0.25)

69.05% (

-0.25)

Lech Poznan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.29% (

0.15)

14.71% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.09% (

0.29)

42.91% (

-0.29)

Radomiak Radom Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.93% (

0.04)

41.07% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.38% (

0.04)

77.62% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Lech Poznan 61.45%

Radomiak Radom 16.88%

Draw 21.66%

Lech Poznan	Draw	Radomiak Radom
1-0 @ 11.58% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 11.09% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 6.31% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.02% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.47% Total : 61.45%	1-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.39% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.93% Total : 21.66%	0-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.36% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.3% ( 0) Other @ 1.86% Total : 16.88%